Monday, August 8, 2011
UCITS HFS Index starts positive into second half of 2011, up +0.27% in July
After a difficult first half of the year the UCITS HFS Index reverses its negative trend in July 2011 and reports a monthly performance of +0.27%. July started off very positively with gains of +0.62% in the first week of trading, being the only positive weekly return of the month though. While the second week was nearly flat with a loss of -0.01%, the third week saw the UCITS HFS Index lose -0.32%. As the last week of trading was quiet from a broad index perspective again with a minor loss of -0.02%, the UCITS HFS Index was able to finish July on an overall positive note. Of all funds tracked in the broad UCITS HFS Index 45.78% were positive in June 2011.
From a sub-strategy perspective the top performers in July were CTA (+2.80%), Credit (+1.15%), and Fixed Income (+0.41%). All three of them only reported losses in the third week of the month, as all sub-strategies were negative that week. The worst performing strategies in July were Convertible (-1.00%), Event Driven (-0.80%) and Currency (-0.31%). Despite having started strongly into the month, these strategies started to under-perform after that, turning negative in the second half of July. It is noteworthy that Convertible, the best performing strategy in the first Quarter of 2011, has lost its way lately and turned negative from a year to date perspective (-0.20%).
As a matter of fact ten out of the eleven sub-strategies of the UCITS HFS Index are negative in 2011, the only positive performer being Credit so far (+0.92%). Therefore it is no surprise that the UCITS HFS Index still is negative in 2011 and now stands at -1.89% from a year to date perspective.
About the UCITS HFS Index
The UCITS HFS Index Series is the first index family that tracks all UCITS funds using hedge fund strategies. The UCITS HFS Index Series includes all UCITS III funds that apply absolute return strategies, have more than 10 Mio. € of assets under management, offer at least weekly liquidity and have reported numbers for more than one month. Index tracking funds, long-only and 130/30 strategies are excluded.
UCITS investors seeking Event Driven strategies
In its latest survey on the growing market for Alternative UCITS, ML Capital observed Merger Arbitrage as the highest demanded strategy by the spectrum of Alternative UCITS investors, with 79 percent of all respondents planning to increase or maintain their exposure in the coming quarter.
ML Capital surveyed a diverse range of active Alternative UCITS investors, who collectively manage €50 billion and today invest upwards of €10 billion into Alternative UCITS products. Questions are aimed at discovering their forthcoming strategy allocations and are asked each quarter to the same respondents, in order to track asset flows between UCITS strategies.
Key highlights this quarter are as follows:
§ Merger Arbitrage strategies are likely to see significant inflows with 49% of respondents looking to allocate more to the asset class.
§ Big spike in demand for Market Neutral strategies, with one third of investors wanting to increase their allocations.
§ Drop in demand for most Equity Hedge strategies with the most dramatically affected being European and Global.
§ US long/short funds fare best of all Equities strategies, with almost 40% of respondents planning to raise their investments.
§ Japan is still struggling to attract attention with a lowly 7% of respondents planning to increase their allocations, the lowest level of any strategy in this quarters Barometer.
Commenting on the latest survey, John Lowry, Co-Founder and Chairman of ML Capital: “The most significant trend in this quarters Barometer appears to be a widening out of interest across several strategies with more te
Tuesday, August 2, 2011
HFN Industry Overview: June 2011
Complete report
On July 22, 2011 with 3,560 hedge fund products reporting, the
HFN Hedge Fund Aggregate Index was -1.16% in June and
+0.42% YTD 2011 while the S&P 500 Total Return Index (S&P)
was -1.67% during the month and +6.02% YTD.
Hedge Fund Industry June Highlights:
• Total industry assets fell an estimated 0.91% to $2.562
trillion in June. Performance accounted for the majority of
the asset decrease and net investor allocations were slightly
positive for the month.
• The primary factors influencing performance in May
continued in June and the downward pressure on
commodities and increased risk aversion hurt CTA/managed
futures and equity strategies for the second straight month.
• Fixed income strategies generally outperformed equity
funds, but both groups were down in June. Mortgage sector
funds posted their lowest return since November 2008,
however the average return was still positive.
• Japan focused funds posted their first positive aggregate
results since the natural disaster in March. Funds in Japan
had the best aggregate regional results in June.
Prior to May and June, the industry had not had two losing
months in a row since the financial crisis. The European debt
crisis has likely resulted in lowered exposures to risky assets and
losses in May and June were the result of this deleveraging.
Defensive sectors and volatility strategies have performed well
during the stretch. The HFN Healthcare Index was +4.10% in Q2
and the HFN Short Bias Index was +2.80% in June.
HFN developed the Outlier ratio to determine which sectors are
producing returns outside of their normal ranges. In June,
mortgage related strategies, though positive on average, had
the second lowest average ratio which is an indication that lower
levels of returns and losses are popping up from the group.
• Total estimated hedge fund assets at the end of June 2011
were $2.562 trillion, a decrease of 0.91%, or $23.6 billion
from May.
• Performance accounted for a decrease of $28.1 billion and
investors accounted for a net inflow of $4.46 billion.
• The core rate of growth (% asset change due to investor
allocations/redemptions) was 0.17%, a decline in growth for
the second consecutive month and the second slowest rate of
growth in the past 12 months.
• Total hedge fund AUM is now 15% below the all-time high set
in Q2 2008.
The trend in Q2 was three declining months of growth. While
investors continued to allocate more than was redeemed,
momentum has slowed. For the quarter, investors added an
estimated net $32.4 billion and for the year a net of $75.3
billion. This is far greater than either the first or second halves
of 2010.
Sub-Sector Specific Flows
• The uptick in flows into Japan focused funds for the two
months (April/May) following the disaster in March stopped in
June and the group had slight net outflows during the month.
• After two months of net outflows, there was a rise in
allocations to funds investing in Latin America while Eastern
European focused funds continued the trend of redemptions.
• For the first month in the last seven, commodity focused
funds had net redemptions while credit strategies continued
to grow at a higher rate than equity strategies.
• Despite a second straight month of higher than average
losses, investor allocations to tech sector funds continued at
an above average rate.
• Market neutral equity funds had the highest strategy specific
rates of inflows in June and statistical arbitrage strategies
suffered larger than average redemptions.
Performance Review
Fixed Income (FI) Strategies
• The average return of all fixed income focused strategies was
-0.18% in June and +3.69% year-to-date.
• Government bond strategies performed best in June,
+0.41%. Mortgage strategies were the only other positive
group, +0.10%. All other fixed income classifications were
down in June.
• Fixed income fund assets rose 0.51% in June to an estimated
$696.6 billion. Investors added net $4.1 billion during the
month.
Equity (EQ) Strategies
• The average return of all equity focused strategies was
-1.13% in June and +0.56% YTD.
• Short bias funds led all others in June, +2.80%. Natural
resource sector funds were at the other end of the spectrum,
-3.10%.
• Equity fund assets fell an estimated -1.05% to $843.6 billion
in June. Investors allocated a net $690 million; the second
lowest total in 2011.
Commodity and Foreign Exchange (FX) Related Strategies
• Broad natural resource commodity strategies were -2.56% in
June and -2.34% YTD.
• Funds investing in metals markets lost most in June, -7.20%.
FX strategies followed their worst month since 2003 with
another down month, -0.66%, leaving the group -1.99%
YTD.
• Agriculture sector funds led the commodity sector group, but
were still down in June, -0.52%.
Summary Analysis
The effects of broad market uncertainty appear to have finally
materialized in hedge fund flows in June. It is important to
remember that investor decisions to allocate or redeem
generally lag current or even one month prior return data
indicating June flows were evidence of rising caution two or
three months prior. Given this scenario, it will likely be a slow
start to the second half of 2011 in terms of industry growth.
On July 22, 2011 with 3,560 hedge fund products reporting, the
HFN Hedge Fund Aggregate Index was -1.16% in June and
+0.42% YTD 2011 while the S&P 500 Total Return Index (S&P)
was -1.67% during the month and +6.02% YTD.
Hedge Fund Industry June Highlights:
• Total industry assets fell an estimated 0.91% to $2.562
trillion in June. Performance accounted for the majority of
the asset decrease and net investor allocations were slightly
positive for the month.
• The primary factors influencing performance in May
continued in June and the downward pressure on
commodities and increased risk aversion hurt CTA/managed
futures and equity strategies for the second straight month.
• Fixed income strategies generally outperformed equity
funds, but both groups were down in June. Mortgage sector
funds posted their lowest return since November 2008,
however the average return was still positive.
• Japan focused funds posted their first positive aggregate
results since the natural disaster in March. Funds in Japan
had the best aggregate regional results in June.
Prior to May and June, the industry had not had two losing
months in a row since the financial crisis. The European debt
crisis has likely resulted in lowered exposures to risky assets and
losses in May and June were the result of this deleveraging.
Defensive sectors and volatility strategies have performed well
during the stretch. The HFN Healthcare Index was +4.10% in Q2
and the HFN Short Bias Index was +2.80% in June.
HFN developed the Outlier ratio to determine which sectors are
producing returns outside of their normal ranges. In June,
mortgage related strategies, though positive on average, had
the second lowest average ratio which is an indication that lower
levels of returns and losses are popping up from the group.
• Total estimated hedge fund assets at the end of June 2011
were $2.562 trillion, a decrease of 0.91%, or $23.6 billion
from May.
• Performance accounted for a decrease of $28.1 billion and
investors accounted for a net inflow of $4.46 billion.
• The core rate of growth (% asset change due to investor
allocations/redemptions) was 0.17%, a decline in growth for
the second consecutive month and the second slowest rate of
growth in the past 12 months.
• Total hedge fund AUM is now 15% below the all-time high set
in Q2 2008.
The trend in Q2 was three declining months of growth. While
investors continued to allocate more than was redeemed,
momentum has slowed. For the quarter, investors added an
estimated net $32.4 billion and for the year a net of $75.3
billion. This is far greater than either the first or second halves
of 2010.
Sub-Sector Specific Flows
• The uptick in flows into Japan focused funds for the two
months (April/May) following the disaster in March stopped in
June and the group had slight net outflows during the month.
• After two months of net outflows, there was a rise in
allocations to funds investing in Latin America while Eastern
European focused funds continued the trend of redemptions.
• For the first month in the last seven, commodity focused
funds had net redemptions while credit strategies continued
to grow at a higher rate than equity strategies.
• Despite a second straight month of higher than average
losses, investor allocations to tech sector funds continued at
an above average rate.
• Market neutral equity funds had the highest strategy specific
rates of inflows in June and statistical arbitrage strategies
suffered larger than average redemptions.
Performance Review
Fixed Income (FI) Strategies
• The average return of all fixed income focused strategies was
-0.18% in June and +3.69% year-to-date.
• Government bond strategies performed best in June,
+0.41%. Mortgage strategies were the only other positive
group, +0.10%. All other fixed income classifications were
down in June.
• Fixed income fund assets rose 0.51% in June to an estimated
$696.6 billion. Investors added net $4.1 billion during the
month.
Equity (EQ) Strategies
• The average return of all equity focused strategies was
-1.13% in June and +0.56% YTD.
• Short bias funds led all others in June, +2.80%. Natural
resource sector funds were at the other end of the spectrum,
-3.10%.
• Equity fund assets fell an estimated -1.05% to $843.6 billion
in June. Investors allocated a net $690 million; the second
lowest total in 2011.
Commodity and Foreign Exchange (FX) Related Strategies
• Broad natural resource commodity strategies were -2.56% in
June and -2.34% YTD.
• Funds investing in metals markets lost most in June, -7.20%.
FX strategies followed their worst month since 2003 with
another down month, -0.66%, leaving the group -1.99%
YTD.
• Agriculture sector funds led the commodity sector group, but
were still down in June, -0.52%.
Summary Analysis
The effects of broad market uncertainty appear to have finally
materialized in hedge fund flows in June. It is important to
remember that investor decisions to allocate or redeem
generally lag current or even one month prior return data
indicating June flows were evidence of rising caution two or
three months prior. Given this scenario, it will likely be a slow
start to the second half of 2011 in terms of industry growth.
Survey: Hedge Funds More Bullish On Stocks
After being bearish on the U.S. stock market, many hedge fund managers have had a change of heart and turned bullish on domestic stocks in a reversal that could underpin market action in the near term, the latest BarclayHedge/TrimTabs Investment research survey said.
About 43 percent of hedge fund managers are now bullish on the S&P 500, a sharp increase from only 27 percent the previous month, and the highest number of bullish managers since December, the monthly survey showed. By contrast, bearish sentiment has plummeted to its lowest readings since January...
Investors, indeed, poured more than $4.3 billion into U.S. equity ETFs in July, making the asset class the leading gainer in the month as it snatched nearly a third of all ETF asset inflows, according to data compiled by IndexUniverse.
Hedge fund managers meanwhile remain “very sour” on long-dated Treasurys, the report said. Bullish sentiment on the 10-year note sank to its smallest reading in more than seven months...
Managers are not as keen on the gold run, either. Nearly 40 percent of them said gold is perhaps the most overbought asset in the market today, compared with oil, equities, U.S. Treasurys and European stocks, the report said...
The two firms, which surveyed 82 managers, track hedge fund flows monthly. BarclayHedge is a closely held Iowa-based research and portfolio management company focused on institutional clients, while TrimTabs is an investment research company.
Complete article
About 43 percent of hedge fund managers are now bullish on the S&P 500, a sharp increase from only 27 percent the previous month, and the highest number of bullish managers since December, the monthly survey showed. By contrast, bearish sentiment has plummeted to its lowest readings since January...
Investors, indeed, poured more than $4.3 billion into U.S. equity ETFs in July, making the asset class the leading gainer in the month as it snatched nearly a third of all ETF asset inflows, according to data compiled by IndexUniverse.
Hedge fund managers meanwhile remain “very sour” on long-dated Treasurys, the report said. Bullish sentiment on the 10-year note sank to its smallest reading in more than seven months...
Managers are not as keen on the gold run, either. Nearly 40 percent of them said gold is perhaps the most overbought asset in the market today, compared with oil, equities, U.S. Treasurys and European stocks, the report said...
The two firms, which surveyed 82 managers, track hedge fund flows monthly. BarclayHedge is a closely held Iowa-based research and portfolio management company focused on institutional clients, while TrimTabs is an investment research company.
Complete article
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)